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US Yield Curves Leading vs JOTLS Total Nonfarm Inv
US 10 year - 2 Year Yield Curve tends to lead PMI by 9-12 months.
● 9-10 months: Strongest correlation.
● 10-11 months: Second strongest.
● 11-12 months: Strong correlation, but generally the weakest among the three, as the economic effects start to
Year over Year reflects the Momentum divergence between rates and equities
US 10-year Treasury Bond yield, deemed as risk-free rate, reflects the opportunity costs for investment. Bond yield increases/decreases as demand slows/rises. Other factors
