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Every single time the 3 Year Z Score got Below -2 Std recession occurs
US CB Consumer Confidence/ISM PMI 36 Month Z Score vs S&P 500
The cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio, or CAPE ratio, proposed by Dr. Robert Shiller, a Nobel prize laureate in Economics in 2013, reflects the real P/E ratio of a stock.
CAPE Ratio = Share Price / 10-Year Average Inflation-Adjusted Earnings
US M2 Money Supply (M2) (YoY) 18 Month Lead vs US Nominal GDP (SAAR, YoY)
US Effective Federal Funds Rate Estimations vs US Yield Curve
US ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) vs US Net Percentage of Domestic Banks Tightening Standards for Commercial and Industrial Loans 1 Quarter Forward Inverted to:
-Small Firms
-Large & Middle-Market Firms
